China’s gold consumption boomed during the CNY holiday. A lower local gold price and freed-up travel budgets – due to COVID outbreaks in different regions – might have spurred consumer interest in gold products, especially Heritage gold jewellery and tiger-themed items.
The LBMA Gold Price PM finished November slightly higher as declines towards the end of the month wiped off earlier rallies. While the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD – which we normally use when comparing to the Chinese local gold price ‒ increased by 0.1%, the SHAUPM in CNY saw a minor drop of 0.3%. The appreciating CNY against the dollar and a steadily rising equity market may have contributed to the underperformance of the RMB gold price.
After five consecutive monthly inflows, collective holdings in Chinese gold ETFs reached 74t (US$4bn, RMB27bn) at the end of October, the highest AUM on record in tonnage terms. We cover this and more in our monthly blog on China's gold market.
Gold prices fell in September. The LBMA Gold Price AM in USD and the Shanghai Gold Benchmark Price (PM) in CNY declined by 4.6% and 4.3% respectively last month. The rising interest rate, outflows from global gold ETFs, and a stronger dollar all contributed to gold price weaknesses in September.
China’s economy is facing challenges. Gold, with its unique relationship with the Chinese stock market and the independence from China’s economy, could be an effective tool for investors.
Explore China's gold market in August. We cover the Shanghai Gold Benchmark Price PM, wholesale physical gold demand, gold ETF inflows, impacts of the rise in COVID-19 cases and more.
While the possible outcomes of the three-child policy and various supporting measures remain uncertain, we believe there is a link between birth rates and gold consumption, and the details are worth analysing.
International gold prices fell steeply in June. The weakness in the gold price can be largely attributed to the more-hawkish-than-expected monetary-tightening signals from the US Federal Reserve’s meeting on 18 June. But the decline in the RMB gold price was narrower than that of the USD gold price, thanks to a 1.6% depreciation in the CNY against the dollar last month.
Gold prices saw marginal declines in October. Even though the US presidential election and a significant rebound in COVID-19 infection cases in many regions kept uncertainty elevated globally, climbing real interest rates in key markets such as the US and China weighed on local gold prices. As a result, the SHAUPM (RMB) and LBMA Gold Price AM (USD) fell by 1.8% and 0.4% respectively in the month.
