Ray Jia

Gold prices weakened in February. There was a 5% decline in the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD during the month. Meanwhile, due to a 3% depreciation in the RMB against the dollar, the SHAUPM in RMB saw a smaller fall of 1%

Gold prices kicked 2023 off to a strong start. The SHAUPM in RMB registered a 2% gain in January and the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD rose by 5%.

Intensifying expectations of a less-hawkish US Fed bode well for international gold prices during the last month of 2022. While the SHAUPM in RMB rose 1% in December, the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD capped a 3% gain.

The divergence between the RMB and USD gold prices widened. The weakening US dollar and lowering yields helped pushed the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD 7.4% higher in November, the best month since July 2020.

Gold’s price divergence continued: the Shanghai Gold Price Benchmark PM (SHAUPM) in RMB rose by 1%, while the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD saw a 2% fall in October.

The local Chinese gold price premium has been surging lately: September’s average reached the highest monthly level for nearly six years.

The Shanghai Gold Price Benchmark PM (SHAUPM) in RMB rose by 0.5% in August while the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD saw a 2.6% fall. The average Shanghai-London gold price spread climbed further in the month, driven by stronger demand  

While the gold price dip may have provided a short-term boost for local gold demand, we believe a sustained recovery requires reviving economic and income growth, fewer disruptions from coronavirus and more weddings. 

The Shanghai Gold Price Benchmark PM (SHAUPM) in RMB and LBMA Gold Price AM in USD both trended down in June. 

今年上半期に日本円は大きく値を下げ、米ドル（USD）に対して18％の下落を記録しました。円／米ドル為替レートは1998 年以来の大幅な円安となっています。

The yen (JPY) has weakened significantly during the first half of 2022: it has registered an 18% depreciation against the US dollar (USD) and now the JPY/USD stands at its lowest point since 1998.

Gold prices fell in May. Primarily driven by negative momentum impacts as well as lower risk and uncertainty, the SHAUPM in RMB and the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD fell by 1.8% and 3.2% respectively in the month.

The Shanghai Gold Price Benchmark PM (SHAUPM) in RMB rose in April while the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD saw a slight decline.

The resurgence of COVID-19 and the subsequent lockdowns in major Chinese cities since late February have made headlines. These lockdowns are leading to households spending less – especially for discretionary items – as well as saving more due to limited spending opportunities and cautious behaviour.

Gold prices extended their strength last month. The SHAUPM in RMB and the LBMA Gold Price AM in USD rose further in March, ending Q1 with a 5.2% and 5.7% gain respectively, the largest since Q2 2020.