Gold Market Commentary: Select elections and Fed on a dime

Gold continued its slow start, giving back 0.3% in February on a rise in risk appetite and Treasury yields. But a bounce in early March has seen gold hit a new ATH. A Fed meeting with new dot plots and Iranian parliamentary elections are events to watch in March, with monetary and geopolitical uncertainty high.

2024 began with continued outflows

Global gold ETFs began 2024 with outflows of US$2.8bn in January, extending their losing streak to eight months. North American (-US$2.3bn) led global outflows and Europe (-US$730mn) also experienced heavy losses. A bright spot in the data came via positive inflows from Asia (+US$214mn).

Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2023

The World Gold Council’s Gold Demand Trends report reveals that annual gold demand (excluding OTC) fell to 4,448t in 2023, down just 5% from a notably strong 2022. When factoring in demand from the OTC markets and other sources, total demand climbed to a new annual record at 4,899t.

December outflow compounds 2023 losses

Global physically backed gold ETFs continued to see outflows (-US$1bn, -10t) in December as European losses overshadowed inflows elsewhere. At the end of 2023, their collective holdings stood at 3,225t, a 244t decline during the year. But total assets under management of global gold ETFs rose 6% to US$214bn thanks to a 15% gold price increase in 2023.   

India's Gold Market: Reform and growth

This compendium brings together a series of reports published over the last three years, giving unparalleled insight into the key factors that underpin India’s gold market, including the drivers of gold demand, the changing structure of the jewellery market, the new investment landscape, and the dynamics of gold supply.

Gold Outlook 2024

As we look forward to 2024, we explore three economic scenarios and their likely impact on gold. Historically, gold has had a flat performance during consensus-favoured ‘soft landings’; however, geopolitical risks, central bank buying and the spectre of a recession may provide additional support for gold.

Gold Market Commentary: Gold finishes October on a high

Gold prices started the month on the backfoot, having fallen below US$1,850/oz at the end of September. The events in Israel on 7 October set a rally in motion that took the US dollar price back up above US$2,000/oz by 27 October. The record-high monthly finish was mirrored in almost all other major currencies