Gold Mid-Year Outlook 2022

Investors face a challenging environment during the second half of 2022, needing to navigate rising interest rates, high inflation and resurfacing geopolitical risks. In the near term, gold will likely remain reactive to real rates, which in turn will respond to the speed at which global central banks tighten monetary policy and their effectiveness in controlling inflation.

Gold Market Commentary

Gold fell 3.5% in July, leaving it down 2.9% on the year at US$1,753/oz. A strong US dollar and sticky real yields weighed on gold in the first half of July.

Gold Market Commentary

Gold ended August lower m-o-m, down 2% to US$1,715.9/oz – its fifth consecutive monthly decline.  The promising bounce that began in mid-July ran out of steam in mid-August after failing to break the US$1,800/oz resistance level.

Gold Market Commentary

Gold fell for the sixth consecutive month, dropping 2.6% to finish September at US$1,671.8/oz. It was a challenging month for most assets, with global equities down 9.5%, global bonds down 5.1% and commodities down 8.4%.

Gold Market Commentary

Gold fell 2% in October on rising bond yields and dollar strength, but it was positively impacted by higher breakeven inflation. But a weaker US dollar vs. euro and lower ETF outflows provided some support