Gold Market Commentary: Gold winded in February by strong US data

Gold shed 5.2% in February, as surprisingly strong US economic data propelled both yields and the US dollar higher. Global gold ETFs suffered more losses led by European funds while North American funds saw small outflows for the first time in two months. Recent futures positioning remains unavailable following issues with the data.

Gold Market Commentary

A falling US dollar was a significant contributor to gold’s 6.1% return in January and another positive ‘unexplained’ factor could be continued central bank buying or expectations thereof. Gold futures have also helped support the rally and, looking forward, we expect North American gold ETFs to continue seeing positive demand in coming weeks as historical analysis shows that positioning in futures tends to lead ETFs flows by two weeks.

Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2022

Colossal central bank purchases, aided by vigorous retail investor buying and slower ETF outflows, lifted annual demand to an 11-year high. Annual gold demand (excluding OTC) jumped 18% to 4,741t, almost on a par with 2011 – a time of exceptional investment demand. The strong full-year total was aided by record Q4 demand of 1,337t.

30 years of Gold Demand Trends

Over the past three decades the gold market has undergone extraordinary change . The structure and dynamics of demand and supply are vastly different from those of thirty years ago.

2022 Chinese gold jewellery market insights

The notable rebound in Q3 Chinese gold jewellery demand from the COVID-stricken Q2 and easing COVID restrictions paints a bright picture for the future. And our third annual gold jewellery retailer survey with China Gold News suggest that opportunities abound.

ETF holdings dwindle in November

Global gold ETFs registered their seventh consecutive month of net outflows in November. But outflows slowed to a relatively modest 33t (US$1.8bn), having also decelerated m-o-m in October (to -59t).

Gold Market Commentary

Gold fell for the sixth consecutive month, dropping 2.6% to finish September at US$1,671.8/oz. It was a challenging month for most assets, with global equities down 9.5%, global bonds down 5.1% and commodities down 8.4%.