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    Investment Commentary


    Stagflation strikes back

    Authored by Krishan Gopaul and Johan Palmberg

    • The risk of stagflation has increased materially since we addressed the topic last year
    • Europe appears to be at greater risk than the US, due to higher exposure to soaring commodity prices and a weaker economic position, but alarm bells could soon ring across the Atlantic, too
    • Year-to-date, gold has performed well, arguably reflecting the Ukraine crisis and the ongoing reflationary environment
    • But should stagflation become widespread it could provide further support for gold as a diversifier and risk hedge

    Stocks go down, bonds go... down?

    Authored by Louise Street and Johan Palmberg: The conventional wisdom that stocks and bonds are negatively correlated is a central component of most asset allocation strategies. But the correlation hasn’t always been negative – far from it, in fact – and there are increasing signs of strain in the relationship, prompting investors to ask: could the stock-bond correlation flip? In this blog, we consider that possibility, what it might mean for the average portfolio, and how gold could help to protect portfolio performance.

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