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    Weekly Markets Monitor - Pricing fiscal risk

    Global markets faced heightened geopolitical risks and signs of slowing growth. Middle East tensions lifted energy prices, while the US eased sanctions on Russian diesel. Meanwhile, US fiscal and trade deficits widened, consumer sentiment weakened and Fed minutes were hawkish. In Europe, German activity slowed and UK services softened. In Asia, China’s holiday spending was uneven and the RBI raised rates by 25bps to 5.5%, its first hike in nearly four years. 

    Weekly Markets Monitor - Golden Week in China

    Geopolitics was in the spotlight last week. While the Trump-Xi summit resulted in a two-month extension of the US-China trade truce, the stalemate in the US-Iran conflict persisted, keeping energy prices elevated and inflation concerns in focus. Economic data presented a mixed picture across major economies: business activity strengthened in the US, Eurozone and India, but softened in Japan and the UK. Meanwhile, US labor markets continued to reflect strength.   

    Weekly Markets Monitor - All together now

    Central bank policy was the dominant theme last week, with the Fed and BoJ hiking and the BoE holding. At the same time, escalating tensions in the Middle East heightened concerns over oil supply disruptions, adding to inflationary pressures as inflation firmed in the Eurozone, UK, Japan and India. Meanwhile, the US economy continued to show resilience, led by strong retail sales and fewer jobless claims, while China's updates pointed to continued uneven growth, with export- and technology-led sectors remaining strong while domestic demand stayed weak. 

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