15 May 1997
Public Policy Centre
IMF Gold Sales Proposal - Update
The Fund's
major shareholders are still divided on the proposal to sell some of its
gold to help poor countries. The Managing Director's progress report on
this issue promises to be a key topic at the Fund's Annual Meeting in
Hong Kong in September.
Background
The Fund holds 103.4m ounces of gold, worth some $36 billion
at todays prices. The stock was built up when member countries had
to pay a quarter of their quota (subscription) in gold.
That arrangement ceased in April 1978, when the monetary
role of gold was eliminated from the Funds Articles. Today, the
Fund can accept gold in settlement of obligations only in cases approved
by member countries holding 85% of the total voting power. The option
has been used once, by Cambodia.
The Fund owns the gold. But governments own the Fund and
lay down rules. These forbid it to engage in such gold transactions as
loans, leases or swaps, or to use gold as collateral. The Fund may sell
gold, but only with an 85% majority approval.
The last time it sold gold was in 1976 - 80, when a total
of 25m ounces was disposed of in four auctions for the benefit of developing
countries. An equal amount was returned to member countries in an exercise
described as restitution, wrongly implying that the gold did not fully
belong to the Fund. In all, the stock was reduced by one-third. By comparison,
the current proposal is very modest, especially since the gold market
is larger today than 20 years ago.
Need to finance debt relief
The proposal has arisen because the Funds ESAF programme
- which provides highly concessional loans to low-income countries and
is the centrepiece of the Funds contribution to the new joint debt
initiative with the World Bank - will temporarily run out of money in
2000 - 2004, before repayments make it self-financing.
At the Annual Meetings last September, Managing Director
Michel Camdessus said the Fund would try to collect as much as possible
in bilateral contributions to fill the gap and only then consider the
"optimisation of the management of IMF reserves". But he added
that "there was the needed majority of Board members who consider
that such optimisation would entail sales of an amount of gold up to 5m
ounces".
Camdessus is still in the process of asking for bilateral
contributions. He could only say at the Spring Meetings in April that:
"As a matter of fact we have secured more or less half
of the financing needed for this operation - this, before any consideration
of optimising the use of our reserve - to use the cryptic
language coined last September." (Press Conference, April 1997).
At a guess, some countries may offer contributions only
if the Fund sells some gold, while others may do so only if it does not.
Industrial countries are divided
Among the main shareholders, the US and the UK have backed
gold sales, while Germany, Japan and Switzerland were originally strongly
opposed, with Italy and France only a little less so. Although there has
been some softening, Germany in particular remains anti. It fears that
even a small sale would:
- Increase pressures at home to sell domestic gold reserves to reduce
the public debt ratio; and
- lead to further sales of Fund gold for possibly less worthy objectives.
When in 1995 the Executive Board reviewed the role of gold
in the Fund, there was broad agreement that the Fund should continue to
hold a "relatively large amount" of gold among its assets, not
only for prudential reasons but also to meet unforeseen contingencies.
However, "relatively large" has not been defined.
Not a done deal
For all his confidence, Camdessus cannot be sure of approval
for a gold sale. It has not been put to a formal vote. Governments change
(as in the UK). Governments can also change their minds. And the US administration
has to obtain Congressional approval to cast its vote in favour - essential
for an 85% majority.
If you have any questions or comments on this input, please
address them to Robert Pringle at:
Public Policy Centre
World Gold Council
Kings House
10 Haymarket
London SW1Y 4BP
United Kingdom
(Fax: +44 207 839 4314) |